Fourth-market Books
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A Wonderful WriterReview Date: 2000-03-29
Another Winner!Review Date: 2000-03-19
A Real Page-TurnerReview Date: 2000-06-10
Consistently GoodReview Date: 2000-04-04
A Wonderful WriterReview Date: 2000-03-29


Just because it has worked, doesn't mean it always willReview Date: 2009-01-09
I'm interested in the value investing vs. market timing trade-off, and so I explored it myself using real data in Stock Fundamentals On Trial: Do Dividend Yield, P/E and PEG Really Work?. I took a much shorter (recent) timeline than Siegel, so a direct comparison is not valid. But I justify this because most investors, despite their best intentions, will not hold stocks that fall in price unless the fall is very temporary. So they're market timers after all: it's just that they time their exits (badly) and don't time their entries at all.
I agree with Siegel's charts that show how well stocks have performed over the decades. In fact, I included a chart (figure 38) in Financial Trading Patterns showing how a buy-and-hold approach would have beaten market timing over a 23-year span to October 2007. But my point is this:
If I had the data, I could perhaps draw a chart showing the continual rise of horse-and-cart production over hundereds of years. But it all came to a swift end when Henry Ford appeared on the scene. Holding Stocks for the Lun Run can work, and it has worked. But we can't guarantee that it always will; and it will take you a long time to find out either way. Or, you'll give up (when you have to) at exactly the wrong time.
Tony Loton, author --
Stock Fundamentals On Trial: Do Dividend Yield, P/E and PEG Really Work?
Financial Trading Patterns
Professor Siegel gets an A+Review Date: 2008-04-22
Andrew Nissenbaum
Outstanding Overview of Stock InvestingReview Date: 2008-04-24
A New Gloss on Stocks for the Long RunReview Date: 2008-08-27
However, I am perplexed on a key element. His case is largely based on historical evidence that purports to show that high dividend yield stocks, with dividends reinvested, have accumulated more total return than growth stocks or index mutual funds. However, his calculations do not account for the deleterious effect of taxes on reinvested dividend. (He says in an endnote that taxes are not significant for the portfolios he chose, but does not explain why; for most common stock portfolios, taxes are significant.) Dividends are taxed yearly and until recently at a higher rate than that of capital gains and that of retained earnings, which are not taxed at all. If taxes have been paid on dividends, only the untaxed part can truly be considered "reinvested"; the part that is taxed has to be made up by a new infusions of cash from the investor. The effect of ignoring this is that his historical comparisons are not terribly meaningful because he is not calculating the returns on true (after tax) contributions to dividend stocks vs. growth stocks. Naturally, if more is contributed to the dividend stocks, there is likely to be more at the end. (BTW, this is basically the same fallacy that sunk the allegedly huge returns of the otherwise delightful "Beardstown Ladies" of yore.) Given that the magnitude of the "advantage" he posits of dividend stocks vs. growth stocks is not all that great, one cannot have confidence that he has truly made his case.
That said, his advice is very useful for investors in tax sheltered 401Ks. Also, the new lower tax rate on dividends also helps lessen, though not eliminate, the effects of yearly taxation of dividends.
In addition to emphasizing the importance of the contribution of stock dividends to equity portfolio performance, this book also grapples with a perplexing challenge to Siegel's original stocks for the long run mantra, the much vexed question of what will happen if and when the populous Baby Boom generation attempts to cash in its stock and bond retirement portfolios by selling them to the smaller demographic of Gen X and Gen Y. An entire school of catastrophe futurologists, most notably Harry Dent, but also more mainstream voices like Peter G. Peterson (The Grey Wave) have warned that this so-called Age Wave is about to wreak havoc with stock market investments. In this book, Siegel does not dismiss this issue, but deals with it in a logical and generally less alarmist point of view. At the risk of oversimplifying a complex analysis, Siegel's bottom line is that while it is true that there are not enough younger generation Americans to absorb the Boomers stock and bond assets at current prices, investors in emerging countries, like China and India, will more than make up for that and will end up buying the Baby Boomer's paper assets as the Boomers sell them off to fund their retirements. The upshot is that foreigners will end up owning a lot of our companies by the year 2050. A potential snag, says Siegel, is whether America will be willing to let this happen, or will pass laws or adopt polices to discourage the transfer of US assets to foreign countries. This remains to be seen, but he is optimistic. On the other hand, the implications for the typical Baby Boomer's most important asset, his or her house, is rather dire, because homes can't be sold as readily to foreigners, for obvious reasons. Siegel doesn't provide an answer for the housing market, which is outside the scope of a book on stock investing in any event. Overall, this remains one of the best written and most sensible investment books available today, now offering a more nuanced and even more helpful sets of advice than the previous editions. With new information and analysis, this is well worth owning, even if you have a previous edition.
The environment map to help you move in ANY stock market Review Date: 2008-03-16
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exelent bookReview Date: 2005-12-15
The first in a series of "not to miss" adventures.Review Date: 1998-07-10
Hawke starts the series with the Wizard of 4th Street and continues it in several other books. Each worth reading. If you enjoy fantasy, you'll like this series. It's Ursla K. LeGuinn's Wizard of Earth Sea - meets Pier's Anthony's Xanth Series.
It draws you in...Review Date: 1999-04-30
If you enjoy a creative twist in your reading then you will find Simon Hawke's books are a joy to read.
I just wish I could find his books somewhere so I could share them with my friends and nephew.
The 22nd Centruy magic is alive and well with MerlinReview Date: 2003-01-19
A nice book to spend a couple of hours with.Review Date: 1998-11-05

A fascinating book.Review Date: 1999-01-27
Sheila Kirk, M.D., the author writes:Review Date: 1997-12-02
I want to wait for the revised edition due out this summerReview Date: 1999-04-10
Good simple guide for those considering hormone therapyReview Date: 1998-01-03

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Fourth Mansions reveals Lafferty at the top of his form.Review Date: 1999-09-28
"There is also the danger of serpents"Review Date: 2002-11-23
When Freddy Foley, newspaperman and innocent, discovers that certain people seem to reappear at irregular intervals he insists on investigating and soon finds himself hip deep in a metaphysical odyssey. He discovers that there is not one, but four separate subcultures that share the world with humanity. The best of these are the badgers that guard the entrances of the human domain. The worst are the toads, the ones who sleep and are reborn. These are dedicated to keeping the world from evolving to the next level. Every time things get better they make sure they really get worse.
Then there are the snakes whose wild mental energy runs out of control. For them the rest of us are toys to play with, energy to use up. Finally, there are the unfledged falcons. Well intentioned, they are the premature warriors, champions of violent solutions. Best to worst they spell little good for Freddy, whose truth seeking will lead him to the tops of mountains and the cells of asylums. 'Goof gloriously,' the snakes order poor Freddy, and so he does.
Lafferty performs an unexpected deconstruction of the mythology of man's progress, and creates an entirely unique narrative for inner progress. Foley is Everyman (Foley = The Fool) on a journey towards a higher plane of being, impeded by creatures that symbolize his own weaknesses. The tale is told tongue-in-cheek, a burlesque parody of one pilgrim's progress. Filled with more mad characters than all of 'Canterbury Tales,' the reader is often left unsure whether to laugh or take notes.
Of course, this is the great flaw of allegory; it never loses the taint of lecture. Plot serves message unforgivingly. 'Fourth Mansions' is only partly fiction as we progress from lesson to lesson. The good news is that Lafferty refuses to fall into the trap of being tedious, and, instead, allows the allegory to parody itself. Still, this is unusual entertainment, and not meant for everyone. Full of mind games and obscure symbolism made garish, it is a child of the late 60's, although I think it's intent is more valid now then it was then. Nowadays I sometimes wonder if the toads have managed to win after all.
Lafferty's MasterpieceReview Date: 2007-02-22

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A must-read for junior accounting doctoral students!Review Date: 2005-01-16
Excellent introductory book for anyone who wants to do capital market research in the future!
Strongly recommend!
A Research BookReview Date: 2001-09-30

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This is a great book for all who made it through collegeReview Date: 2000-08-02
Wayne D. Ford, Ph.D., author of "The Accelerated Job Search" docwifford@msn.com

western romance set during the civil warReview Date: 2007-11-05
This is about a couple, Kate Neely and Race Logan who have one heck of a time getting together. Their heart-warming journey from Kansas to New Mexico Territory to finally find each other holds the interest of any true western romance fan. I especially liked the added character of Isaac Goodman whose faithfulness to both characters was beautiful. A really good reading experience from a truly great writer.

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15 Far-Out ItemsReview Date: 2006-12-15
CONTENTS:
I Am A Nucleus Stephen Barr
Name Your Symptom Jim Harmon
Horrer Howce Margaret St. Clair
Man of Distinction Michael Shaara
The Bomb in the Bathtub Thomas N. Scortia
Your Were Right, Joe J. T. McIntosh
What's He Doing in There? Fritz Leiber
The Gentlest Unpeople Frederik Pohl
The Hated Frederik Pohl (as Paul Flehr)
Kill Me With Kindness Richard Wilson
Or All the Seas With Oysters Avram Davidson
The Gun Without a Bang Robert Sheckley (as Finn O'Donnevan)
Man in a Quandary L. J. Stecher Jr.
Blank Form Arthur Sellings
The Minimum Man Robert Sheckley

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First Rate. An Enjoyable AdventureReview Date: 2001-07-10
The USSR crumbles, Russian hardliners jump from 1991 to AD 9, when their modern weapons can warp the course of the Roman Empire and create a world ruled by the Kremlin-using time technology that doesn't exist in the 20th century...or the 26th.
To solve the mystery, the Riders must split into teams separated by millennia. And while three Riders are trapped between the Roman legions and a blood-maddened barbarian horde, their comrades are at war on the Moscow streets. And fighting an inconceivable enemy.
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