Forecasting

Stanley Changnon and his colleagues have written the best, and most comprehensive analysis of what really happened with the biggest climate event of the century, the 1997-1998 El Nino. What is unique about this book is that they carefully look at both the devastation that occured and the positive impacts from the mild winter -- fewer deaths from ice storms, more shopping when people went out in milder weather, less fuel oil. They also point out the places where the forecast worked, and where it had problems. As society gets more and more sensitive to weather events, we will need more thoughtful probing into how we have responded and how we will respond. This book sets the stage, and is written by experts who have analyzed other big weather events. I strongly recommend it.

Stanley Chagnon and his colleagues have written the best, and most comprehensive analysis of what really happened with the biggest climate event of the century, the 1997-1998 El Nino. What is unique about this book is that they carefully look at both the devastation that occured and the positive impacts from the mild winter -- fewer deaths from ice storms, more shopping when people went out in milder weather, less fuel oil. They also point out the places where the forecast worked, and where it had problems. As society gets more and more sensitive to weather events, we will need more thoughtful probing into how we have responded and how we will respond. This book sets the stage, and is written by experts who have analyzed other big weather events. I strongly recommend it.

The extreme weather condition known as El Nino is part of a much bigger world weather system linking the North Atlantic Oscillation, the Asian monsoon, and the Pacific El Nino. Several El Nino episodes took place during the Little Ice Age between 1200 and 1900, especially in the 1570-1740 time frame. Based upon archaeological findings as well as historical records, El Nino: History And Crisis is a superb history of the impact upon human civilizations of this phenomena down to the present day, and offers timely warnings of the likely effects of future weather-affecting climate changes on agriculture and public health. Highly recommended reading for anyone with an interest in the environment.

This survey of the El Nino phenomenon examines world systems of climate and change, bringing together the latest historical and scientific discoveries about El Nino and its effects on civilizations. Archaeological records and scientific surveys are used in the course of considering the past effects of El Nino and its possibilities for the future of Earth's climate.

This book tell you all you need to know about flood frequency analysis. It's very systematic in it's presentation, and gives good examples of how to use the theory in practice.

Dr. Rao's and Dr. Hamed's comprehensive and thorough guide to Flood Frequency Analysis is extraordinary and a classical piece in Civil Engineering literature.

I'm an earth science teacher and initially shied away from the mass market nature of this text, but I looked over a couple of pages at the pharmacy one afternoon and was hooked. A thorough and thoroughly engaging book about El Nino - everything you need to know. And believe me. YOU NEED TO KNOW.

Porter like Bob Dylan crafts a superb detailed synopsis of one of the strangest inexplicable events in recent history. Is the government behind this weather phenemenon? Chapter 4 is very well written, detailing all of the catastrphies in California. Check this out!!!

What do computers and information technology do for organizations? How have they changed, and, more importantly, how might they change the way we structure, manage, and operate organizations? If these questions interest you, then this is the book for you.

First, the author guides you through a thorough examination of how human characteristics (limited memory, processing constraints, emotions) condition organizational structure. Next, he explores how technologies of all sorts (e.g., writing, printing, telecommunications) affect organizations by relieving these limitations. Finally, only after establishing this very important context, does he turn to what exactly information technology means to organizations. Computers, he concludes, affect organizations primarily through two characteristics -- their enormous and enormously accessible memories, and their unparalleled communicating and coordinating potential.

Having established these foundations, his conclusions -- what sort of organizational structures IT facilitates -- follow logically and smoothly. Whether or not you agree with these conclusions, taking the journey with the author to arrive at them is both entertaining and educational. This book is authoritative, well-written, and hugely educational.

After a thorough analysis of man's organization and technology, Groths sets out to investigate the new forms of organization that IT faciliates. His innovations includes 'The Joystick Organization', the Meta-Organization' and ' The Organized Cloud'.

Groth is no IT nerd, nor a Luddite. He is surprisingly sober on the digital economy, and often funny. There are not too many people on this planet who integrates Sokrates' dialogues, Mintzberg's organization theory and the technical intricacies of computer systems into one single framework. There may be good reasons not to, but when Groth does this, you feel it is natural and coherent.

This book was wirtten in 1999, and after 2.5 years I saw lots of the things they said is getting real.
The book is mostly about American culture but therearesome parts which is global. And they really catch my attention.
The part that is most interesting and true is the converstaion with Richad Holbroke. His future forecast about terrorism was right. After 9/11, it became reality.
If you want to have a different point of view from experts, read this book.

This book captivated me this summer, and has lead me to look into and research other areas of our changing world...It is a must-read for any college student who wants to take an active role in the next millenium.

...the more they stay the same. Despite the fact that this book was written and published more than five years ago, it's still the best book written on strategy execution and implementation. Alright,... I'll admit it: the book's title and cover design need a little work (author take note!!). However, if you're willing to look past these superficial flaws, you'll discover the definative book on strategy implementation -- even better than Larry Bossidy's fine "Execution: The Discipline of Getting Things Done." In addition to this book and Bossidy's "Execution," I'd also recommend that you consider Kotter's "Leading Change" and Smallwood, Ulrich, and Zenger's "Results-Based Leadership" (both five-star books!!). Bottom line? "Implementing Your Strategic Plan" is a must addition to your management library. Overall grade: B+/A.

This book could have been titled "making change happen." The core of this book consists of a chapter by chapter discussion of the 18 keys to implementing the strategic plan. The 18 keys are grouped into five categories: setting accountability; enabling and aligning action; fixing the organization; providing an environment in which people can excel; and judging and rewarding. This is a superb, penetrating and detailed book which begins with a fascinating summary of findings from the author's survey of CEOs and key executives who were successful in implementing change. One insight stands out from these findings-teams don't develop paradigm shift strategies; CEOs do. Indeed Fogg states that the single most important factor in the change equation is leadership. With that truth set forth up front, we were confident that this book would be a rewarding experience; it was...and we highly recommend it!

Written around the same time as JM Hurst's "The Profit Magic Of Stock Transaction Timing". Explores the links between cycles, volume, fibonacci, harmonics, support and resistance, and price. If you liked JM Hurst's book, and want to understand more, then this book may be what your looking for.

This one of the best books I have ever read on why cycles exist and how cycles can be used to improve your investment strategies

Mr. Nelson wrote this book many years ago. It is still useful today in teaching the practicing economist or investment analyst what statistics are useful in predicting economic dynamics. His belief in using statistics that are not subject to revisions was a revelation to me as should be to anyone who uses historical economic data for forecasting in real time.

This is a great little book. It explains the basics of economics in terms of the monthly and quarterly government numbers. It teaches you what numbers are really real and what numbers are bogus.

Steve Woods
FloatAnalysis.com

This is the best book yet for small investors. Warren Boroson's previous advice made it possible for me to take early retirement. Now, he takes us hand-in-hand with the "big guys" and shows us the paths to take and to avoid through today's volatile market. Good sense with good humor. A "must read."

I just started investing seriously a couple of years ago, and am still learning. Mr. Boroson's book was invaluable to me. It contained a lot of concise, well-thought-out advice that was immediately relevent to today's uncertain investment climate. Most books about investing I've read are either too simple, or so complicated that you need to be Warren Buffet himself to understand them. I liked Mr. Boroson's book because it helped me think through decisions more clearly without trying to impress me with a lot of complicated terms and ideas that won't help me build a winning portfolio. I'm already putting some of Mr. Boroson's strategies to work!